CERTISYNVERIFICATION INFRASTRUCTURE
Truce verificationTwo sealed volumes INGEST 2026-08-26

Two volumes, one ingest, one digest each.

The Olympic Truce is a commitment with named parties and a published history. What an operated verification layer adds is the machinery that lets that record be relied on by someone who was not in the room when it was written, and defended by someone who has to answer for it afterwards. Both volumes below draw on the same ingest of the same 193 member states, and each seals to a digest anyone can recompute without trusting Certisyn.

Ingest 2026-08-26T00:52:00Z Member states 193 Methodologies TO-2.0 and SC-1.1 Sources UN OCHA, UNHCR, World Bank, HDX, USGS, OWID
Volume one · conduct

Truce Observatory

Compliance against the five truce stipulations, twelve years of Games, and a detector rack that publishes what is not connected beside what is. A cessation determination is issued for all 193 member states against the Paris 2024 window.

193member states
147 of 193no event in window
7 of 12causal roots
TO-2.0root cb7814fcOpen →
Volume two · conditions

Structural Conditions

The substrate underneath the conduct reading: health, housing, air, infrastructure, work and civic participation, plus an eleven-year within-state change analysis that tests whether conditions move conduct at all.

18series ingested
11years of panel
5 of 9signs agreeing
SC-1.1root 1af9cb5bOpen →

What these are, and what they are not

These are working prototypes of an operated instrument, not an operating index. The readings are real and drawn from named public endpoints. Cessation of hostilities is measured for every member state against the Paris 2024 truce window from a dataset that needs no credential, so the reading can be repeated by anyone. The full five-stipulation determination is still withheld, because one stipulation has no connected detector and an instrument that scores anyway is not measuring, it is estimating.

Neither volume attributes conduct to living conditions. The second volume tests that proposition directly over a decade of within-state change and reports that it does not hold, which is the reason the first volume does not lean on it.